louis vuitton luggage bag: 十一月 2013

2013年11月21日星期四

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Add another complication to the tangle of relations–with a happy face–that is the U.louis vuitton speedyS.-Russian relationship. It does not concern nuclear weapons, Iran, missile defense, Saakashvili’s Georgia or even Vladamir Putin’s creepy penchant for baring his pecs. Rather the dispute centers around an alleged criminal, whom Russia authorities seem intent on protecting from prosecution.fake chanel shoes Viktor Bout, a renegade Russian arms trafficker, known at various times, with multiple passports, as a the “Merchant of Death” and the “Lord of War,” was captured in March of 2008 in Thailand in a sting that involved U.S. agents posing as Colombian guerrillas. Bout had long been known as one of the most brazen arms traffickers to some of the worlds bloodiest conflicts–in Angola and Liberia, Afghanistan and Columbia, and many others.chanel handbags for sale He had been blacklisted by the United States Treasury Department and singled out by the United Nations. (I have also reported on a major embarrassment that tied Bout to the Bush Administration: companies tied to Bout did cargo shipping for the Pentagon in Iraq.) But Thailand has so far refused to extradite Bout to the United States for trial. Even more alarming, the Russian government is seeking to bring Bout back to Moscow.cheap gucci belts For decades, Bout has also long been suspected of having friends in high places in Russia, which protected Bout long after he became an international fugitive. Peter Landesman, writing in the New York Times in 2003, summed up the situation well, after meeting an unidentified source in Moscow: He said to imagine the structure of arms trafficking in Russia like a mushroom. Bout was among those in the mushroom’s cap, which we can see. The stalk is made up of the men who are really running things in Russia and making decisions.ugg boots outlet Looking from above, he said, you never see the stalk. Earlier, in Kiev, Grigory Omelchenko, the former chief of Ukrainian counterintelligence, had said that traffickers like Bout are either protected or killed. ”There’s total state control.” Said E.louis vuitton neverfullJ. Hogendoorn, the former U.N. arms investigator: ”There was the sense that there were bigger and murkier forces involved in this.chanel handbags for sale Bout’s being protected by highly influential people.” And so it continues. For their part, Hillary Clinton and the Obama Administration are refusing to let the Bout issue drop. Quite the contrary, they are making it a central fact in U.fake chanel shoesS. relations with Thailand. According to the Associated Press: A senior U.S.louis vuitton speedy Justice Department official on Tuesday told Thai officials the extradition of suspected arms dealer Viktor Bout is “a matter of great importance to the United States.” U.S. Deputy Attorney General David Ogden told reporters he was “disappointed” by the decision of a Thai lower court in August to reject a U.gucci handbag for saleS. extradition request for the Russian and was hopeful an appeals court would rule to extradite him. For his part, Bout continues to maintain his innocence, and complain about his confinement. His wife, Alla, has said that Bout’s detention in Thailand is “probably worse than Guantanamo.ugg boots outlet” “This is like medieval times,” she said, speaking through a translator. “At first, I cried. But now I’m used to this atrocity.” If we are going to talk about human rights, it might be good to note the United Nation’s conclusions about Bout’s roles in the wars in Angola and Liberia.fake louis vuitton As the United Nations concluded in 2000: Landing heavy cargo planes with illicit cargoes in war conditions and breaking international embargoes such as the one on Angola requires more than individual effort. It takes an internationally organized network of individuals, well funded, well connected and well versed in brokering and logistics, with the ability to move illicit cargo around the world without raising the suspicions of the law or with the ability to deal with obstacles. One organization, headed, or at least to all appearances outwardly controlled by an Eastern European, Victor Bout, is such an organization. To learn more, see this report by PBS’s Frontline.chanel outlet
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Fred Kaplan has a piece about the excellent job John Kerry has done persuading Hamid Karzai to allow a runoff and, perhaps, some reform measures in Afghanistan.gucci handbag for sale This reinforces the piece Jay Newton-Small did for Time earlier this year, about Kerry’s renewed sense of purpose as a Senator. Meanwhile, Joe Lieberman’s bill of unnecessary heresies is, after a year in remission, growing by leaps and bounds once more. His demand that Obama announce a troop increase before the Afghan runoff seems more a matter of McCain man-love than smart policy. His opposition to the Baucus health care bill–which could use some serious improving–seems more gratuitous than substantive as well.fake louis vuitton
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$609,000 a day.fake louis vuitton That’s how much the drug and biotech companies have been spending to influence Congress in the health reform debate, more than any other industry. So it’s no surprise that they have been extraordinarily successful. In the upcoming issue of dead-tree TIME, Michael Scherer and I look behind the scenes at the fight over biologics, the expensive miracle drugs that are revolutionizing health care and making billions for the companies that produce them. This is a battle you may not have heard about, but its outcome will be hugely significant — both to the drug industry’s future and to yours.louis vuitton handbags for sale And it provides a window into how money and influence work in Washington today. The story begins with a most unusual event: the fearsome House Energy and Commerce Chairman Henry Waxman getting rolled by his own committee. You can read it here.
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There aren??t many Democrats that would be willing to take on their own White House on the sensitive topic of czars ?? especially since the mere mention of the word by virtually any elected official sends Fox News in paroxysms.fake uggs Russ Feingold weighed in a couple of weeks ago. And today at 2:30pm, Senate Homeland Security and Government Relations Committee Chairman Joe Lieberman will hold the first full committee hearing on the topic (okay, Lieberman??s not a Democrat, but he still caucuses with them). A story on what to expect at the hearing. Update Below is the letter that Greg Craig sent to Susan Collins for those interested in reading it: Read it here.louis vuitton handbags for sale
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2013年11月20日星期三

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Back in December of 2010 when Congress was faced with the imminent expiration of the Bush tax cuts, Democrats and Republicans made a pretty straight-forward tradeoff.louis vuitton neverfull President Obama would allow extended lower rates on top-tier income, anathema to liberals, in order to secure a moderately sized economic booster shot.? The “Stealthy Stimulus,” as some dubbed it, came at a high price to Democrats, but the White House seemed to see its potential benefits to the recovery–and Obama’s re-election prospects–as paramount. On Friday, the Republican-controlled House voted?293 to 132, to extend those same stimulus measures–unemployment insurance and a payroll tax holiday for 160 million workers–through the end of 2012, joined by the Democratically helmed Senate, 60 to 36. While 91 Republicans and 41 Democrats voted no in the House, and 30 GOPers, five Dems and one independent defected in the Senate, the tradeoff was less dramatic than the 2010 deal.handbags louis vuitton Republicans won $5 billion in cuts to a preventive health fund established by Obama’s health care law and increased pension contributions for federal workers, as well as a reduction in the maximum duration of jobless payouts from 99 weeks to 73 weeks in the most hard-hit states.The legislation also included an annual measure to prevent a reduction in Medicare reimbursement rates. MORE: Why Obama’s Re-election Fortunes Are Suddenly Looking Up While the package lacks the scope of the broad tax cuts favored by the GOP or Obama’s perennial spending proposals for infrastructure, manufacturing and R&D, economists predict it will have an appreciable effect this year. It contains what’s considered an efficient staple of Keynesian pump-priming: Giving money to people who are very likely to spend it–unemployment benefit dollars will fill gas tanks and buy groceries throughout the year.replica chanel shoes And while the payroll tax cut does not offer the same bang-to-buck ratio, an extra $1,000 is no small thing for?$50,000-a-year wage-earner–or the Obama campaign’s communications outfit. Republicans are well aware of this dynamic. “This is an economic relief bill, not a growth bill,” House Speaker John Boehner said in a statement Friday. “The only reason the provisions at the core of this measure are even necessary is because the President??s economic policies have failed.loui vuitton” Failed or not, the economy is beginning to pick up and Obama has just secured another 8 months of stimulus before voters deliver their final verdict on his first term. MORE:?Obama vs.
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According to CNN, Newt Gingrich’s candidacy is getting some CPR in the form of another $10 million donation to his super PAC from the billionaire casino mogul Sheldon Adelson, whose family has already pumped $10 million into the group.replica gucci shoes The money won’t arrive a moment too early for Newt. As Bloomberg noted Friday morning, Gingrich is more or less out of money. His campaign has gone dark on the airwaves, which is campaign death. (I broadcast, therefore I am.louis vuitton outlet online) The fare at his events has been reduced to “free water and coffee.” At least he isn’t charging for the water! Ten million bucks could give Gingrich a last shot at the nomination. Though he’s writing off the February 28 votes in Michigan and Arizona, he? could fare well in some of the ten Super Tuesday states that will vote on March 6, many of them southern states, including Newt’s home state of Georgia. But it’s possible that Mitt Romney is the real beneficiary here.fake louis vuitton The more the anti-Mitt vote is split, the better off he is. His nightmare is that either Gingrich or Rick Santorum drops out and the remaining candidate consolidates the conservative base and starts drawing majority votes in the primaries. Divide and conquer is Mitt’s winning formula. (MORE:?Sheldon Adelson, Gingrich??s Money Man, Doesn??t Hate Mitt Romney) But won’t much of that $10 million just go into negative attacks against Romney, who, it’s possible, can’t sustain much more damage before collapsing entirely himself? That’s not clear.handbags louis vuitton Adelson was not thrilled with the Mitt-bashing his money funded in South Carolina, and it’s possible that he’s giving on the condition that Gingrich’s camp doesn’t disembowel Romney. As I wrote recently, Adelson likes Romney fine, and is comfortable with the idea of a Romney White House. His support for Gingrich has been a matter of friendship, not anti-Romneyism. And to hear the Wall Street Journal tell it, it’s Santorum whom Adelson thinks should not be the nominee.gucci handbag for sale You can imagine, then, the logical deal he might have struck with Gingrich backers: Here’s another ten million. Spend it on positive ads. Spend it slamming Santorum–especially in Michigan, please. But go easy on Mitt.fake ugg boots That way, Adelson gets to remain loyal to his old friend Newt, without alienating the candidate who still remains the likeliest nominee. There would be risks, of course. Newt could knock out Santorum, and suddenly Romney would be facing a lone conservative rival. Or, if Romney loses Michigan, a strong Newt showing on Super Tuesday could finish him off.handbags louis vuitton But things are already pretty bad for Romney and for the moment, he has to consider Adelson the enemy of his enemy, and therefore his friend.
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This, making the rounds today, has turned into something of a prop for those who either see Mitt Romney as a serial panderer or, for lack of a better word, weird.louis vuitton backpack for sale (People have compared it to this Steve Carrell bit from Anchorman and even Coneheads.) Here’s the thing: This is Romney being Romney. He really is from Michigan. His father really ran a car company.cheap gucci belts OK, he probably doesn’t care too much about the height of trees, but he is being awkward in a genuine way. The relentlessly upbeat thing isn’t an act. And for a guy who gets stereotyped as robotic and over-produced, you might think it might not be a bad thing. As Mike Murphy and Mike Crowley write, Romney’s better off not trying to to reinvent himself.gucci outlet online Calvin Trillin wrote a great piece for The New Yorker last month imagining President Romney using his Iowa State Fair schtick on the global stage: The moment President Romney entered the room where the opening reception of his first G-8 summit was being held, he was approached by a small man who shook his hand and said, ??Je suis Nicolas Sarkozy.?? ??Are you of French-Canadian origin??? President Romney said, smiling broadly. ??I am French,?? Sarkozy replied, looking somewhat puzzled. ??I am, in fact, the President of France.replica chanel shoes?? ??Congratulations,?? President Romney said. ??Lipstick contains a substance made from fish scales.?? This stuff is funny. If he was actually socially helpless, he probably wouldn’t have been able to run a major company or convince people to give him millions of dollars in campaign checks.replica gucci shoes
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All politics is local, said Tip O?? Neill, the former Democratic Speaker of the House from Massachusetts.gucci outlet online For years the adage shaped the tactics of campaigns, nudging candidates to tailor their rhetoric and platforms to the specific concerns of the constituents they hoped to represent. But it is no longer true, as writers like Matt Bai have observed. “Politics in the online age is increasingly borderless and can often be shaped more by national causes than by anything having to do with local constituents,” Bai wrote in the fall of 2010, as he observed Christine O’Donnell, a weak candidate with no?discernible?organization, surf a wave of anger at the status quo to a primary win. The nationalization of our politics was one of the major stories of the 2010 midterms, when political experience became a liability and races boiled down to which candidate could claim the outsider’s mantle.replica louis vuitton So it is again this year.? Though fought in a collection of states, each with its own parochial concerns, the Republican primary has been marked by national surges and swoons. With the exception of Mitt Romney, whose level of support has stayed relatively steady, the fortunes of the Republican candidates have swung dramatically. Over the past two months, there have been five lead changes in the national polls.fake louis vuitton shoes These swings have been triggered by two types of events: nationally televised debates and wins in state contests. Heading into South Carolina, Newt Gingrich was a broken candidate who hadn’t finished higher than fourth and lagged badly in the national polls. His win in the Palmetto State nudged voters nationwide to climb aboard his bandwagon. After Gingrich was pummeled in Florida, his support collapsed across the country.gucci handbag for sale (PHOTOS: A Look at Newt Gingrich’s Career) The upshot of a nationalized contest is that no state is safe. Michigan should be a cakewalk for Romney, a native son whose father was a venerated auto-company executive and popular governor. Romney won the state by nine points in 2008. He has a superior war chest and?the support of local party bigwigs.replica chanel shoes Since June, he has visited Michigan 11 times. Rick Santorum has been to the state exactly once: Feb. 16, on the heels of a flurry of polls that showed him surging to an improbable lead. To local analysts, the specter of Romney’s losing Michigan is unthinkable.fake gucci shoes “There isn’t any reason in the world Rick Santorum should be a factor in Michigan at all. He’s never been here. He has no connection to the state. He’s only seemingly doing well because he’s viewed as the latest anti-Romney in the party,” says Bill Ballenger, a former Republican lawmaker and Michigan political analyst.louis vuitton shoes replica “But the nature of American politics has changed so radically. It’s become so nationalized and media-driven. You can do everything a campaign should be doing ?? and believe me, Romney has done that, while Santorum and [Ron] Paul and Gingrich have not ?? but if the narrative out there is ‘Anybody but Romney,’ even with Romney’s ties to the state, it may be difficult for him to overcome.” (VIDEO: What Comes Next After Mitt Romney’s Florida Primary Victory?) The battle in Michigan has been revealing not just for what it says about Romney’s struggles to connect with Republican voters but also for the way in which he and Santorum are looking beyond their immediate audience to drive a national message.chanel handbags for sale Last week, Romney doubled down on his opposition to the Obama Administration’s auto bailout by writing an editorial in the Detroit News that slammed the initiative as “crony capitalism on a grand scale” to benefit “Obama’s union allies.” Not to be outdone, Santorum used a speech at the Detroit Economic Club on Thursday to note that he too was against the auto bailout. Both candidates belabored the point in the face of the fact that in Michigan, labor is a dominant force, and the bailout remains popular. Both Chrysler and GM are resurgent.gucci handbag for sale GM recorded its most profitable year in history in 2011, netting $7.6 billion. The nationalization of presidential politics doesn’t mean that local and regional demographics don’t matter. Romney has been strong in less-conservative states.fake ugg boots Santorum has done well in the Midwest, where he frames himself as the grandson of a coal miner who understands the economic pain afflicting the region. Gingrich’s lone win was in the Deep South, where he hopes to resurrect his flagging campaign on March 6, Super Tuesday. “If any of the three loses our home state … you have, I think, very, very badly weakened candidacies,” the Georgian said on Sunday. “I was home campaigning for the last two days precisely to say to all of my friends back home, Georgia really matters.louis vuitton handbags for sale You cannot take this for granted.” (MORE: Election 2012: Can Anyone Stop Romney?) Romney too is desperate to avoid an ignominious defeat in his home state. “That won’t happen,” he said last week. Maybe not.chanel handbags for sale But the fact that it could ?? and his strategy for sidestepping that embarrassment ?? says a lot about how politics is no longer a local affair.
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2013年11月19日星期二

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The best attacks are cast with humor.louis vuitton neverfull That’s why it worked when John McCain’s 2008 campaign used Paris Hilton against Barack Obama, and why the windsurfing spot that George W. Bush used against John Kerry in 2004 got so much traction. The humor takes the edge off and builds a bond between the viewer and the attacker. And so the Obama campaign, like the Newt Gingrich campaign before it, has gone to the dogs.chanel handbags for sale
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Miami We??re used to invasive species in Florida, from Burmese pythons terrorizing the Everglades to unlicensed plastic surgeons injecting our butts with cement glue.louis vuitton neverfull In fact, many Floridians are themselves invasive species, being from someplace else. One of the things that can result from this is a confused sense of identity ?? which helps explain not only why Florida has one of the nation??s highest shares of independent voters, about a fifth of the electorate, but also why the state??s Republicans and Democrats go through chronic “Who are we?” cycles. And those mood swings matter, because Florida is America??s most important swing state. So to understand why Florida saved former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney??s presidential campaign by delivering him a win in Tuesday??s primary election, it??s useful to know which phase the Sunshine State??s Republican moon is in right now.louis vuitton backpack for sale Florida Democrats have often had a hard time deciding whether they want to be old-style Southern Democrats ?? like the Dem attorney general who once joked about the problem of convicts catching on fire in ??Old Sparky,?? the state??s electric chair??? or more liberal, Miami-style Democrats. (Regardless, these days they usually end up as the state’s losing party.) Likewise, Florida Republicans regularly alternate between a more hard-line Southern conservatism and a more moderate Northern conservatism, the latter brought in by snowbirds and other migrants. Should they be the kind of social and fiscal right-wing Tea Partyers who buoyed former House Speaker Newt Gingrich??s presidential campaign in South Carolina earlier this month? Or the less radical, establishmentarian Lincoln Republicans who seem to be abandoning Gingrich for Romney from Pensacola to Key West? You can credit Romney??s victory to his big-money super-PAC advantage, his barrage of low-blow TV attacks (though it??s hard to cry for an inveterate low blower like Newt) or the parade of Mount Rushmore Republicans, from Arizona Senator John McCain to Hollywood heavyweight Jon Voight, who came to the state to sing Mitt??s praises and slam Newt??s vices.chanel outlet But in Florida, you also have to consider timing and temper. Take the past decade, when it was difficult to tell which side of the GOP brain was running the state. One day the party was braying at the bedside of Terri Schiavo, railing against secular America??s ??culture of death?? like Mississippi Evangelicals; the next it was hosting then governor Charlie Crist??s green-and-fuzzy summits on global climate change. (Not coincidentally, it was during that Crist cycle that Establishment Republican McCain won the Florida primary and sealed his 2008 presidential nomination.louis vuitton replica) But the next thing we knew, Florida Republicans were all but descending on the governor??s mansion with pitchforks in 2010 to drive Crist out of the party and elect Tea Party darling Marco Rubio to the U.S. Senate instead. They also tapped Rick Scott ?? a right-wing millionaire whose former hospital corporation was once busted for the largest Medicare fraud in history while he was CEO??? to replace Crist.replica louis vuitton And yet now, in spite of an almost 10% state unemployment rate, Florida Republicans have returned to dutiful, elect-the-electable Establishment sobriety. Even Rubio risked the ire of many of the state??s Tea Partyers by defending Romney from attacks by Gingrich. And why shouldn??t he? Recent polls show that only about a third of Florida Republicans still have a favorable view of the Tea Party, and that reality was a red carpet for a bland patrician like Romney??? whose perceived moderateness would have gotten him tossed into the same boxcar with Crist just a year ago. ??With the Tea Party out of the way, Romney was able to close the deal in Florida,?? a state GOP pollster told TIME this week.fake gucci shoes Romney, in fact, made no effort to secure Governor Scott??s endorsement??? or, for that matter, to even be seen with him. Sure, some of this reflects the identity crisis of national Republicans and voters in general. But nowhere is the party-identity angst as acute as it is here in Florida. And since it looks like the state has decided to thumb its nose at both GOP and Democratic party leaders and keep its primary in January from here on out??? to which one can only say hurrah, since it??s about time we started crowning our presidential nominees in large states that represent messy modern U.louis vuitton neverfullS. demographics, as Florida does, instead of letting small, lily-white states like Iowa and New Hampshire do it??? candidates are going to have to learn how to read this peninsula of political Sybils more expertly than, say, Moon Colonizer Gingrich did. What??s more, they??re going to have to learn how to detect the Florida syndrome beyond Florida. The Sunshine State isn??t called the new bellwether state just because it has a lot of independent voters.replica louis vuitton It??s because, for now anyway, it seems to project the nation??s hopes and anxieties better than anywhere else??? and if the last two national election cycles have proven anything, it??s that the country??s recession-battered electorate, especially Republicans, seems as schizophrenic as Floridians are. So where does this muddled mood leave Romney between now and November??s general election??He can take heart in more than just a Florida primary landslide: polls show him the best bet to defeat President Obama in this crucial state in a one-on-one matchup. Still, Romney shouldn??t linger at his Florida fiesta. If there??s one area where Florida??s bellwether looks can be deceiving, it??s the Latino vote.louis vuitton belts GOP candidates who win here tend to delude themselves into thinking they??ve locked in the burgeoning U.S. Latino electorate just because they heard ardent applause from Cuban Americans in Miami. But it??s been six years since there were more registered Latino Republicans in Florida than registered Latino Democrats??? and the latter today outnumber the former by more than 100,000.replica gucci shoes That??s only half the story. The Cubans and Puerto Ricans who make up most of Florida??s Latino population are vastly overshadowed nationally by Mexican Americans, who make up two-thirds of the U.S. Latino community??? and who care as ardently about immigration, where they see Romney as an antagonist, as Cubans do about Castro.louis vuitton neverfull There is no such thing as one ??Latino identity?? in that regard. But if Romney and the GOP have learned anything in Florida??? where they??ll return in August for the GOP national convention in Tampa??? it??s that political identity these days can be as elusive as a Burmese python. Padgett is TIME’s Miami and Latin America bureau chief.
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Tampa, Florida At the Romney headquarters in Tampa, there are ghosts of the Republican past.louis vuitton outlet online On the wall, along with Florida maps and volunteer-made signs, is a collage of swag from the McCain-Palin 2008 campaign. It??s a symbol of GOP solidarity, but also a reminder that Barack Obama will be waiting to take on whoever emerges from this year’s messy GOP nomination process. After his decisive win Tuesday night in Florida, Mitt Romney looks like he’ll likely be that candidate. Romney arrived at his campaign HQ on Tuesday morning to greet his canvassing soldiers and make calls with his phone-bankers; some Florida voters didn??t pick up, but Romney left them messages, encouraging them to support him.louis vuitton speedy ??It really is me calling your home,?? he said. After making calls, he walked out back to take questions from the press, and much of the back-and-forth was about the muddy nature of the campaign. (MORE:?After Turbulent January, GOP Race Enters the Doldrums) Romney outspent Gingrich by more than 5-to-1 on Florida TV, and 92% of the ads run in the state were negative, according to one media study. As the results came in, exit polls showed that voters found Romney most electable.gucci outlet online They also thought that his campaign was the most culpable for the negativity; even 20% of Romney??s own voters cited him as the candidate who ran the most ??unfair?? campaign. ??You really can??t whine about negative campaigning,?? Romney said on Tuesday morning, noting that Gingrich fired shots first in South Carolina. (Never mind that Romney outspent him there, too, and buried Gingrich in negative ads in Iowa.) ??I??m not gonna stand back and allow another candidate to define me.louis vuitton handbags for sale [Gingrich??s] comments most recently, attacking me, have been really quite sad,?? he said, condescendingly. (MORE:?Mitt Romney Wins Florida Primary in a Rout) Romney also spoke about the importance of Florida, with its big cache of delegates. He repeated the mantra that the Sunshine State, with its communities of Hispanics and retired Baby Boomers and true Southerners, is a microcosm of the United States. ??Florida is a pretty good indication of your prospects nationally,?? he said.handbags louis vuitton ??So for me, Florida??s big.?? He left the scene abruptly, in what he said was his ??good luck?? golf shirt, because he had last worn it in New Hampshire. The Tampa Convention Center, site of his primary party, was abuzz before sundown. Hucksters were flanking the entrance, and the campaign was hawking official Romney merchandise to supporters inside.fake ugg boots A platinum ??Florida Believes?? T-shirt would cost interested parties $30; a red ??Believe In America?? shirt would cost $20. Supporters trickled into the ballroom, after snaking through a Disneyland-like line. They came sporting plastic flag-print hats, bright suits, sequined jackets and crowns made from rolls of Romney campaign stickers. The group was confident and ready to celebrate.louis vuitton shoes replica ??He is the best man, the least controversial, and he has the firepower?? to win the nomination, said Jill Pedro, a small business owner from Apollo Beach. ??He??s got it.?? (MORE:?After Florida Loss, Newt Gingrich Finds Himself at a Crossroads) Fox News played across enormous projection screens in the room. People cheered each time the anchors showed a promising exit poll and went wild each time the broadcast showed Romney HQ.gucci handbag for sale As the network counted down to the close of the polls, the crowd counted along. People chanted “Mitt! Mitt! Mitt! Mitt!” as the clock ran out and the race was called for their man. They hollered and hugged each other. A woman jumped up and down with flags in both hands.fake chanel shoes By the time Ann Romney took the stage, they were primed. She gave the obligatory thank yous to people who had helped them in Florida–the many members of Congress who endorsed her husband; organizers; and, of course, the voters, who cheered loudly for themselves. After all, they did what they set out to do that day. Romney arrived to loud fans and his theme song, Kid Rock??s ??Born Free.loui vuitton?? He started on a gracious note, saying there are fewer candidates than there once were but still three gentlemen who are ??serious, able competitors.” He congratulated them on their hard-fought contests, which couldn’t help but sound smug given what a wide margin Romney had just won by. He tried to account for the blowback that negative campaigning brings. Exit polls showed that 4-in-10 Florida voters weren??t satisfied with the candidates available, compared to 3-in-10 in New Hampshire.cheap gucci belts Democrats ??like to comfort themselves with the thought that a competitive campaign will leave us divided and weak,” he said. “A competitive primary does not divide us, it prepares us.” The crowd agreed. Like many Floridians, Romney supporter Teri Pinney was ready for the whole race to be over by the time her state’s primary was done.gucci handbag for sale “It??s been a tough race [with] the negativity, the mud that??s being thrown,” she said. “I look forward to when that??s behind us, and we as a group of Republicans consolidate and unify once again.?? In his speech, Romney promised that would happen??though when exactly is not yet clear.
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2013年11月13日星期三

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You want an argument against American exceptionalism? Take a look at how the nation votes.loui vuitton According to a new report by the Pew Center for The States, the U.S. voting system remains “plagued with errors and inefficiencies that waste taxpayer dollars, undermine voter confidence, and fuel partisan disputes over the integrity of our elections.” What are the problems? Consider these bullet points from Pew: –Approximately 24 million??one of every eight??active voter registrations in the United States are no longer valid or are significantly inaccurate.fake uggs –More than 1.8 million deceased individuals are listed as active voters. –Approximately 2.75 million people have active registrations in more than one state.louis vuitton speedy –Researchers estimate at least 51 million eligible U.S. citizens are unregistered, or more than 24 percent of the eligible population. Even worse, the partisan reaction to this mess tends to make the situation worse, not better.louis vuitton backpack for sale In recent years, Republicans have pushed for a raft of new laws, including voter identification requirements, that the Brennan Center for Justice estimates “could make it significantly harder for more than 5 million eligible voters to cast ballots in 2012.” Voting, it turns out, is a classic example of something the founding fathers got wrong. Federalism, though brilliant in other respects, has created enormous state-by-state complexities and inefficiencies that could be avoided with a modern federal voting system. All we need to do is look north.chanel outlet “Canada, which uses modern technology to register people as well as data-matching techniques common in the private sector, spends less than 35 cents per voter to process registrations, and 93 percent of its eligible population is registered,” the Pew report notes. By contrast, the state of Oregon “spent $4.11 per active voter to process registrations and maintain a voter list” in 2008. It remains a national shame, and there is no clear route to a rational fix.fake ugg boots The issue long ago became a partisan football. Democrats are willing to risk voter fraud to prevent disenfranchisement. Republicans are willing to risk disenfranchisement to prevent fraud. Both sides play to win.chanel outlet And the referees are, more often than not, working for whichever side won the last election. The system is simply not properly focused on the sort of American ingenuity and exceptionalism that politicians love to crow about. Shortly before the 2008 election, I wrote a piece for TIME about the problems. My overview then applies just as well today: We can go to the moon, split atoms to power submarines, squeeze profits from a 99 cent hamburger and watch football highlights on cell phones.louis vuitton outlet online But the most successful democracy in human history has yet to figure out how to conduct a proper election. As it stands, the American voting system is a worrisome mess, a labyrinth of local, state and federal laws spotted with bewildered volunteers, harried public officials, partisan distortions, misdesigned forms, malfunctioning machines and polling-place confusion. Each time, problems pop up on the margins; if the election is close, these problems matter a great deal. Republicans and Democrats predict record turnouts, perhaps 130 million people, including millions who have never voted before.handbags louis vuitton The vast majority will cast their votes without a hitch. But some voters will find themselves at the mercy of registration rolls that have been poorly maintained or, in some cases, improperly handled. Others will endure long lines, too few voting machines and observers who challenge their identities. Long a prerogative of local government, the patchwork of election rules often defies logic.replica louis vuitton A convicted felon can vote in Maine, but not in Virginia. A government-issued photo ID is required of all voters at the polls in Indiana, but not in New York. Voting lines are shorter in the suburbs, and the rules governing when provisional ballots count sometimes vary from state to state You can read the rest of that story here.
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The Republican nominating contest is taking a much needed siesta this week, with no primaries, debates or other confabulations planned.louis vuitton speedy But the polls are still trickling out and they’re ugly for the ever precarious front runner, Mitt Romney. A survey from Public Policy Polling found him trailing Rick Santorum by 15 points in Michigan, Romney’s home state and the next competitive contest on the primary calendar. Another poll conducted nationally by Pew showed Santorum pulling even nationally, with double-digit leads over Romney among conservatives, Tea Partyers and Evangelicals. Tracking data from Gallup and a national poll from the New York Times and CBS News bear similar results.louis vuitton speedy Public opinion is fickle, and this year’s primary race has been defined by its volatility from the outset, but Santorum’s rise has the making of something different: real trouble for Romney. Santorum is not an ideal candidate.?His congressional paper trail leaves him open to attacks from the right on earmarks, labor issues and entitlement spending. His campaign has been disorganized, unable to transfer early success in Iowa to the following contests or tap into a major donor base beyond Wyoming benefactor Foster Freiss.louis vuitton replica He tried to contest New Hampshire with a series of improvised, churlish town-hall appearances and arrived in South Carolina on shaky foal legs. His money shortage led him to cede Florida, and it wasn’t until the nonbinding contests of early February that Santorum found his footing with conservative activists, who play a larger role in caucus states. But Santorum’s strengths ???and he does have them ???interlock with Romney’s weaknesses in a way that no other Republican insurgent’s has. (MORE:?With Saturday Victories, Romney Retakes Control of the GOP Narrative) Strident social conservatism and a blue collar economic message are the hallmarks of the Santorum brand.louis vuitton replica Romney has little credibility with voters on either count. His evolution on abortion renders him compromised in the eyes of many Evangelicals, and repeated gaffes relating to personal wealth, coupled with his corporate consulting background, have hurt him among lower-income and non-college-educated Americans. In Michigan, Romney isn’t helping himself much on the latter point. In an op-ed running Tuesday in the Detroit News, Romney reminds Michiganders of his opposition to Obama’s auto-bailout and disdain for United Auto Workers.chanel outlet But the rescue plan is fairly popular there, and in the past, even staunch opponents of organized labor have toned down their rhetoric when campaigning in the union-heavy state. Romney still has the biggest advantages possible in a presidential race: massive funding, Establishment support and a strong electability case to make. Republican movers and shakers are unlikely to desert Romney. He’s putting his money to work in Michigan and elsewhere to head off the Santorum threat ???Restore Our Future, the super PAC backing Romney, has already locked in $500,000 for Michigan ads for the next two weeks.louis vuitton replica We don’t yet know whether they’ll be pro-Romney or anti-Santorum, but if Romney’s clinical takedown of Newt Gingrich was any indication, they’ll most likely look like this anti-Santorum spot ROS cut for Florida: Update: Here’s what ROS will be running: But the latest surveys show Romney’s electability defense eroding. Pew found Santorum performing roughly as well against Obama as Romney does, with the President leading them 52-44 and 53-43, respectively. In politics, missteps become disasters when they fit into a pre-existing narrative. His rivals’ argument that Romney would be a weak general-election candidate is predicated on two notions: that Romney can’t excite conservatives and that his tin-earedness to the needs of Joe and Jane Flyover makes him a liability with swing voters.cheap gucci belts There’s no doubt that Romney is having trouble turning out his supporters; losing Michigan, his native state, would show the problem compounding. For now, the idea that Romney can’t connect is a stylistic critique with little evidence that it’s costing him a huge number of real votes. Romney’s actually done well in open primaries where fiscally conservative yet socially liberal independents have backed him over his opponents. But if he loses a string of Midwestern states (Minnesota’s done, and Michigan and possibly Ohio could follow)?to Santorum’s blue collar coalition, there’d be some concrete evidence that his most powerful argument????that he is best equipped to defeat Barack Obama ???may be becoming marginalized.chanel handbags for sale
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There has been some discussion in recent days of moral equivalence, or not, when it comes to the dueling sticky-bombers–the probable Israeli attempts to assassinate Iranian nuclear scientists, which were successful; and the probable Iranian attempts to respond, which have failed.fake uggs These arguments are irrelevant. Obviously, if Israel is targeting Iranian scientists, Iran–if it has any military capability at all–is going to try to respond. And obviously, Israel should understand that such responses will be coming. (I mean, if someone started killing Israeli nuclear scientists, the Mossad would be all over it, as it was when someone killed Israel Olympic athletes in 1972.louis vuitton neverfull) The real question is, have we learned anything about Iran’s ability to respond in the past few days? We don’t know enough about the attacks in Thailand today, except that they succeeded in blowing off the legs of the attempted bomber, who may have been Iranian. Yesterday’s sticky bomb attacks in India and Georgia seem more obviously reciprocal–the same method was used in the most recent assassination of an Iranian scientist. But all these of these attacks have something in common: they failed. An Israeli diplomat’s wife and several staffers were injured in India, which is awful–but also pathetic.ugg boots outlet The best the Iranians could do, in response to the decimation of the flower of its scientific community, was target the spouse of a diplomat? If I’m an Israeli, or American, intelligence specialist, I have to draw several conclusions: First, Iranian intelligence–which Israeli experts have assured me over the years is first-rate–isn’t so good, after all. Obviously, it wasn’t good enough to target an Ambassador or a spook or a military attache…or a scientist. It also wasn’t good enough to penetrate Israel itself–remember, the attacks on the Iranian scientists all occurred in Tehran and environs. Second, Iranian fanaticism isn’t exactly rabid, either.louis vuitton backpack for sale Where are the half-crazed suicide bombers of yesteryear? In truth, the Iranians have never been very big on suicide bombing–that’s mostly a Sunni thing. But these tepid responses, if that’s what they were, show a certain respect for and fear of Israel’s deterrent capabilities. They were a response, not an escalation. A truck bomb blowing up the Israeli embassy in Georgia would, no doubt, have engendered major Israeli retaliation.handbags louis vuitton It seems probable that the Iranians don’t want to risk that. There are those who say, with some logic, that Iran would be more willing to risk an escalation if it had a nuclear weapon. But Iran d0esn’t–and, right now, the act of “breaking out” (or trying to “sneak out”) and build a nuke is a step most experts are not sure the Iranians are willing to take. It’s possible, perhaps even probable, that Iran’s real intent is to achieve a state similar to Japan’s–the ability to assemble a nuclear weapon on short notice.louis vuitton belts The cost of actually building a nuke, risking a western military response (or even the long-term continuation of the economic sanctions currently in place), might be too high to for the current, extremely unpopular government to risk. My calculations in the paragraph above assume an Iran that is truculent and hostile, but not irrational–and, I believe, this week’s puny attempts to respond to the death of its scientists confirm my assumption. I’ll have more about this in my print column on Thursday.
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There’s nothing “wrong” with protests built around placard-hoisting and park-squatting, but Occupy the SEC is definitely doing something right with its radically different tack.louis vuitton backpack for sale The OWS-offshoot has submitted a 325-page letter to federal financial regulatory agencies on the Volcker Rule, a controversial measure designed to prohibit banks from proprietary trading, or making investments with their own dollars rather than their customers’, that was passed as part of the Dodd-Frank financial reform law. When Congress writes a bill, even a really, really long bill, its directions are often vague and incomplete. In order for a law to be practically applied, relevant federal agencies must translate vague legislativese into enforceable rules. This takes time, and a surprisingly large amount of a given regulation’s scope and effectiveness can be determined in this critical period.replica louis vuitton But while most of the media (TIME included) and, by extension most lay-folks, follow congressional debate over a major piece of legislation like Dodd-Frank, they tend to ignore the rule-writing period. By contrast lobbying interests who have a major stake in the outcome of said rules do not, and they can often win tweaks in their favor after the public has turned its back. (Not there’s anything inherently wrong with that: these are businesses that will be directly affected by such rules and can be expected to advocate for themselves.) Case in point: The Financial Services Forum, a consortium of top banking CEOs, actually spent more on lobbying in 2011, when Dodd-Frank’s most important regulations were under review, than in 2010, when the law was debated and passed.gucci outlet online The industry as a whole spent about the same in each year. All of which is to say that showing up in this latter stage of lawmaking is a really important part of public policy advocacy, and it’s not something that grassroots groups often have a good handle on. Occupy the SEC is doing its occupying in smart way. For a substantive overview of Occupy the SEC’s concerns about Volcker–in short, they’re worried that banks have secured loopholes to get around the spirit of the rule–read Felix Salmon or the entire letter.cheap gucci belts
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2013年11月9日星期六

2013年11月6日星期三

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